The movement of bookmaker lines. Monitoring bookmaker lines

To analyze the movement of bookmaker lines, it is necessary to monitor the coefficients. This concept reflects the reaction of a specific sport event to the demand from the capers. Experienced players are able to track the movement of quotations. They are looking for bets with the highest odds. In this article we will talk about such a game strategy, as "the movement of bookmaker lines", which are monitored by cappers. So, let's get started.

Definition

Usually bookmakers bet on a particular event, based on two factors: either on the basis of their own statistical information and analytics, or on the basis of the finished line formed by the analytical agency. For these purposes, some bookmakers have their own analytical departments. Also, there are companies that take the line of their colleagues as the basis. And they are not particularly worried that this is a kind of plagiarism.

Line - a group of interconnected markets and exposed to them kef. For example, 1X2 is a line that has three shoulders: a victory for the 1st team, a draw and a victory for the 2nd. Another line can consist of fores (Φ1 (-2), Φ1 (-1), Φ1 (+1), etc.) and totalals (Тб (0), Тб (1) and others). There are many other types of rates.

It is necessary to understand that changing the lines of bookmaker offices is connected with the interaction between several markets. For example, when upgrading the 1X2 market caches, the odds for the odds and the outcome will necessarily be affected. But this may not have any impact on the markets associated with angular, cards and totals (football).

Over time, the cuffs offered by offices in these or those markets are able to change. This is the movement of bookmaker lines. Monitoring coefficients is sure to help understand both the prerequisites and the consequences of this process. A professional capper needs to understand this. Otherwise, he has very little chance of making correct conclusions about the event and increasing his profitability.

When do the lines move?

Before answering this question, you need to understand what a line is. By this term we mean the total amount of money that is put on all shoulders within the same line. The transfer of one outcome of the line is a special case. For example, the total amount of bets on winning the 1st team in the 1X2 line. That is, when the amount of money supply to this outcome significantly prevails, then it is said that the line is loaded.

What's wrong with the shoulder weight?

For the capper itself, nothing. He made a bet and waits for the outcome. But for a bookmaker, it's not the total amount of money put in, but their even distribution on the shoulders that matters. After all, the main earnings of the office are in the margin. Single losses of players are not so important. So, when one of the shoulders is overloaded, and the rest is not there, the bookmaker is threatened with the appearance of losses. If the market is to win, then the office will suffer losses at numerous payments. Here there is a movement of bookmaker lines. That is, if the victory of the 1st team in the 1X2 line is pushed, then X and 2 begin to move up. This will cause an increase in the number of bets on these markets and will balance all three leverage.

Causes

We have already found out that changing the lines of bookmakers is directly related to overloading. The latter arises because of two types of players' activity: unintentional and deliberate.

Unintended overload

Appears at the time of downloading the favorite (very popular with the players) market. For example, it can be one of the main outcomes of 1X2 or total heads. Most often, amateur players put on the most understandable and simple market. On the same victory of any of the teams. This makes it possible for the offices to understate the cuffs, thereby obtaining a large margin due to the non-availability of one of the favorite markets. For example, when two tennis players play, the coefficient for the strongest is always loaded more. And in the same football there are also draws that allow the offices to more than pay back the rates for the favorite. Thus, when players put too much on one shoulder, bookmaker lines move. As a result, the loaded kff decreases, and the underload increases.

Intentional factors

Intentional factors include a one-time significant transfer of one of the shoulders of the line. Most often, this happens in contractual games. This is a very deep and complex issue, which requires a separate study. But within this topic it is worth noting that for all gaming companies such rates are suspicious and sometimes become the subject of separate proceedings. In this case, the transshipment causes not only an abrupt movement of bookmaker lines, but it can also cause a complete closure of the market. In general, any non-standard behavior of players can turn into office for unforeseen expenses, which they do not want to carry.

Practical use

Let's find out how the analysis of the movement of bookmaker lines can help the capper. And for a more easy understanding, we will give concrete practical examples.

Choosing a bet and a certain market, we can trace the dynamics of changes for a couple of days. After this, it can be concluded that the rate is appropriate. For example, if in the last 48 hours the kef in the selected market has changed a lot, then, most likely, one of its shoulders has undergone a load. How this happens, we described above. If the coefficient has fallen dramatically, then many markets have made a lot of bets on this market, or a little, but they are significant in terms of the amount. In this case, the analysis must rely on the level of authority of the game event. When it comes to some insignificant match, the nature of this transfer is questionable. There may be collusion between teams (players). If the event is significant, then such a move of the kef indicates the desire of the gaming company to earn or balance the gross volume of bets on the shoulders of the market.

Another example of using the analysis of the line of bookmakers is preparing for arbitration situations. A rapidly growing kef on one of the shoulders in a particular gaming company, with an unchanged character on the others, is a clear signal of the nearest appearance of the fork. If you respond in a timely manner, then this information can be converted into money.

Another area of application of the analysis of the line of bookmakers is protection from the traps of offices using artificial forks to catch professional capers at arbitration. Although these risks are not great, they are. Therefore, if there is an abrupt increase in the rate in the line of an office (while in other bookmakers the coefficients do not change) without any logical reasons, it is better to refrain from making a bet.